BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Mt St Mary's

Class: 1 Class Rank: 276 Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (8-12) Overall: (12-19) Overall Strength =   15.79

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    22.72  58  76    1  14 ( 18- 13) West Virginia           6.94    -24.94                      
  2 11-11-2022 Away    L     8.52  78  83    1 344 (  9- 22) Coppin St              -7.27      2.27                      
  3 11-15-2022 Home    W    15.79  60  38   ZZ  97 (  0-  1) McDaniel                0.00     22.00                      
  4 11-18-2022 Away    L    28.97  74  83    1  37 ( 22-  9) Southern Cal           13.18    -22.18                      
  5 11-20-2022 Away    W    23.00  73  68    1 292 (  7- 24) Cal Poly                7.21     -2.21                      
  6 11-22-2022 Away    W    29.10  69  65    1 176 ( 15- 18) Pacific                13.32     -9.32                      
  7 11-26-2022 Away    L     8.72  59  75    1 188 ( 18- 13) Navy                   -7.07     -8.93                      
  8 12-01-2022 Away    W *  31.46  73  58    1 317 ( 12- 17) St Peter's             15.68     -0.68                      
  9 12-03-2022 Home    L *  14.31  65  68    1 203 ( 16- 13) Rider                  -1.48     -1.52                      
 10 12-06-2022 Home    L     4.82  61  69    1 267 ( 17- 14) American Univ         -10.97      2.97                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    W    25.86  51  34    1 324 ( 13- 20) Loyola MD              10.08      6.92                      
 12 12-18-2022 Home    L     5.48  59  68    1 240 ( 16- 17) Robert Morris         -10.31      1.31                      
 13 12-21-2022 Away    L    20.36  62  63    1 238 ( 19- 12) Howard                  4.57     -5.57                      
 14 12-31-2022 Away    L *   7.93  55  67    1 260 ( 15- 14) Niagara                -7.86     -4.14                      
 15 01-02-2023 Away    W *  24.11  64  60    1 256 ( 10- 19) Canisius                8.32     -4.32                      
 16 01-08-2023 Away    L *  10.16  56  63    1 304 ( 10- 19) Marist                 -5.62     -1.38                      
 17 01-13-2023 Home    L *   5.03  57  62    1 302 ( 12- 17) Manhattan             -10.75      5.75                      
 18 01-15-2023 Home    L *  11.76  51  58    1 169 ( 20- 11) Qunnipiac              -4.03     -2.97                      
 19 01-20-2023 Away    L *   8.78  57  72    1 208 ( 17- 14) Siena                  -7.00     -8.00                      
 20 01-22-2023 Home    W *  14.41  59  55    1 304 ( 10- 19) Marist                 -1.37      5.37                      
 21 01-26-2023 Home    L *  11.05  60  63    1 248 ( 13- 17) Fairfield              -4.74      1.74                      
 22 01-28-2023 Home    L *  -1.29  62  73    1 317 ( 12- 17) St Peter's            -17.07      6.07                      
 23 02-03-2023 Away    L *   4.19  51  81    1  75 ( 24-  7) Ioan                  -11.59    -18.41                      
 24 02-05-2023 Away    W *  29.51  79  75    1 169 ( 20- 11) Qunnipiac              13.72     -9.72                      
 25 02-10-2023 Home    L *  10.03  65  72    1 208 ( 17- 14) Siena                  -5.75     -1.25                      
 26 02-12-2023 Away    L *  16.80  72  76 1  1 248 ( 13- 17) Fairfield               1.01     -5.01                      
 27 02-17-2023 Home    W *  17.18  70  66    1 260 ( 15- 14) Niagara                 1.39      2.61                      
 28 02-19-2023 Home    W *  14.36  75  74    1 256 ( 10- 19) Canisius               -1.43      2.43                      
 29 02-24-2023 Home    L *  15.44  68  80    1  75 ( 24-  7) Ioan                   -0.34    -11.66                      
 30 02-26-2023 Away    W *  29.06  63  58    1 203 ( 16- 13) Rider                  13.27     -8.27                      
 31 03-04-2023 Away    W *  21.78  74  69    1 302 ( 12- 17) Manhattan               6.00     -1.00                      
      Averages              15.79  63.9 66.8

Best game:   31.46 = 15 point win over St Peter's
Worst game:  -1.29 = 11 point loss to St Peter's
Team stdev:   8.91